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談話会・数理科学講演会
過去の記録 ～05/01｜次回の予定｜今後の予定 05/02～
| 担当者 | 会田茂樹，大島芳樹，志甫淳（委員長），高田了 |
|---|---|
| セミナーURL | https://www.ms.u-tokyo.ac.jp/seminar/colloquium/index.html |
2014年11月28日(金)
16:30-17:30 数理科学研究科棟(駒場) 123号室
西浦博 氏 (東京大学大学院医学研究科)
Estimating the reproduction numbers of emerging infectious diseases: Case studies of Ebola and dengue (JAPANESE)
http://www.ghp.m.u-tokyo.ac.jp/profile/staff/hnishiura/
西浦博 氏 (東京大学大学院医学研究科)
Estimating the reproduction numbers of emerging infectious diseases: Case studies of Ebola and dengue (JAPANESE)
[ 講演概要 ]
The basic and effective reproduction numbers offer epidemiological
insights into the growth of generations of infectious disease cases,
informing the required control effort. Recently, the renewal process
model has appeared to be a usefu tool for quantifying the reproduction
numbers in real-time using only case data. Here I present methods,
results and pitfalls of the use of renewal process model, presenting
recent case studies of Ebola virus disease epidemic in West Africa and a
massive epidemic of dengue fever in the summer of Japan 2014.
[ 参考URL ]The basic and effective reproduction numbers offer epidemiological
insights into the growth of generations of infectious disease cases,
informing the required control effort. Recently, the renewal process
model has appeared to be a usefu tool for quantifying the reproduction
numbers in real-time using only case data. Here I present methods,
results and pitfalls of the use of renewal process model, presenting
recent case studies of Ebola virus disease epidemic in West Africa and a
massive epidemic of dengue fever in the summer of Japan 2014.
http://www.ghp.m.u-tokyo.ac.jp/profile/staff/hnishiura/
