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Colloquium
Seminar information archive ～04/19｜Next seminar｜Future seminars 04/20～
| Organizer(s) | ASUKE Taro, TERADA Itaru, HASEGAWA Ryu, MIYAMOTO Yasuhito (chair) |
|---|---|
| URL | https://www.ms.u-tokyo.ac.jp/seminar/colloquium/index_e.html |
2014/11/28
16:30-17:30 Room #123 (Graduate School of Math. Sci. Bldg.)
Hiroshi Nishiura (Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo)
Estimating the reproduction numbers of emerging infectious diseases: Case studies of Ebola and dengue
(JAPANESE)
http://www.ghp.m.u-tokyo.ac.jp/profile/staff/hnishiura/
Hiroshi Nishiura (Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo)
Estimating the reproduction numbers of emerging infectious diseases: Case studies of Ebola and dengue
(JAPANESE)
[ Abstract ]
The basic and effective reproduction numbers offer epidemiological
insights into the growth of generations of infectious disease cases,
informing the required control effort. Recently, the renewal process
model has appeared to be a usefu tool for quantifying the reproduction
numbers in real-time using only case data. Here I present methods,
results and pitfalls of the use of renewal process model, presenting
recent case studies of Ebola virus disease epidemic in West Africa and a
massive epidemic of dengue fever in the summer of Japan 2014.
[ Reference URL ]The basic and effective reproduction numbers offer epidemiological
insights into the growth of generations of infectious disease cases,
informing the required control effort. Recently, the renewal process
model has appeared to be a usefu tool for quantifying the reproduction
numbers in real-time using only case data. Here I present methods,
results and pitfalls of the use of renewal process model, presenting
recent case studies of Ebola virus disease epidemic in West Africa and a
massive epidemic of dengue fever in the summer of Japan 2014.
http://www.ghp.m.u-tokyo.ac.jp/profile/staff/hnishiura/
