統計数学セミナー
過去の記録 ~01/23|次回の予定|今後の予定 01/24~
担当者 | 吉田朋広、増田弘毅、荻原哲平、小池祐太 |
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セミナーURL | http://www.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/~kamatani/statseminar/ |
目的 | 確率統計学およびその関連領域に関する研究発表, 研究紹介を行う. |
2015年02月10日(火)
16:30-17:40 数理科学研究科棟(駒場) 052号室
Ioane Muni Toke 氏 (Ecole Centrale Paris and University of New Caledonia)
Zero-intelligence modelling of limit order books
Ioane Muni Toke 氏 (Ecole Centrale Paris and University of New Caledonia)
Zero-intelligence modelling of limit order books
[ 講演概要 ]
Limit order books (LOB) are at the core of electronic financial markets.
A LOB centralizes all orders of all market participants on a given
exchange, matching buy and sell orders of all types.
In a first part, we observe that a LOB is a queueing system and that
this analogy is fruitful to derive stationary properties of these
structures. Using a basic Poisson model, we compute analytical formulas
for the average shape of the LOB. Our model allows for non-unit size of
limit orders, leading to new predictions on the granularity of financial
markets that turn out to be empirically valid.
In a second part, we study the LOB during the call auction, a market
design often used during the opening and closing phases of the trading
day. We show that in a basic Poisson model of the call auction, the
distributions for the traded volume and the range of clearing prices are
analytically computable. In the case of a liquid market, we derive weak
limits of these distributions and test them empirically.
Limit order books (LOB) are at the core of electronic financial markets.
A LOB centralizes all orders of all market participants on a given
exchange, matching buy and sell orders of all types.
In a first part, we observe that a LOB is a queueing system and that
this analogy is fruitful to derive stationary properties of these
structures. Using a basic Poisson model, we compute analytical formulas
for the average shape of the LOB. Our model allows for non-unit size of
limit orders, leading to new predictions on the granularity of financial
markets that turn out to be empirically valid.
In a second part, we study the LOB during the call auction, a market
design often used during the opening and closing phases of the trading
day. We show that in a basic Poisson model of the call auction, the
distributions for the traded volume and the range of clearing prices are
analytically computable. In the case of a liquid market, we derive weak
limits of these distributions and test them empirically.