数理談話会

日時: 2014年11月28日(金) 16:30〜17:30
会場: 数理科学研究科棟(駒場) 123号室

講演者

西浦 博 氏 (東京大学大学院医学研究科)


講演題目

Estimating the reproduction numbers of emerging infectious diseases: Case studies of Ebola and dengue



講演概要

The basic and effective reproduction numbers offer epidemiological insights into the growth of generations of infectious disease cases, informing the required control effort. Recently, the renewal process model has appeared to be a usefu tool for quantifying the reproduction numbers in real-time using only case data. Here I present methods, results and pitfalls of the use of renewal process model, presenting recent case studies of Ebola virus disease epidemic in West Africa and a massive epidemic of dengue fever in the summer of Japan 2014.


参考URL

http://www.ghp.m.u-tokyo.ac.jp/profile/staff/hnishiura/