講演概要：
The basic and effective reproduction numbers offer epidemiological insights into the growth of generations of infectious disease cases, informing the required control effort. Recently, the renewal process model has appeared to be a usefu tool for quantifying the reproduction numbers in real-time using only case data. Here I present methods, results and pitfalls of the use of renewal process model, presenting recent case studies of Ebola virus disease epidemic in West Africa and a massive epidemic of dengue fever in the summer of Japan 2014.

講演参考URL：
http://www.ghp.m.u-tokyo.ac.jp/profile/staff/hnishiura/