Seminar on Probability and Statistics

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Organizer(s) Nakahiro Yoshida, Teppei Ogihara, Yuta Koike

2009/04/22

15:00-16:10   Room #128 (Graduate School of Math. Sci. Bldg.)
Arnaud DOUCET (統計数理研究所)
Interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo Methods for Solving Nonlinear Measure-Valued Equations
[ Abstract ]
We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast to traditional Markov chains, their time evolution depend on the occupation measure of their past values. This general methodology allows us to provide a natural way to sample from a sequence of target probability measures of increasing complexity. We develop an original theoretical analysis to analyze the behaviour of these iterative algorithms. We establish a variety of convergence results including exponential estimates and a uniform convergence theorem with respect to the number of target distributions. We also illustrate these algorithms in the context of Feynman-Kac distribution flows.
(this is joint work with Professor Pierre Del Moral)
[ Reference URL ]
https://www.ms.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~kengok/statseminar/2009/02.html