統計数学セミナー

過去の記録 ~04/18次回の予定今後の予定 04/19~

担当者 吉田朋広、荻原哲平、小池祐太
セミナーURL http://www.sigmath.es.osaka-u.ac.jp/~kamatani/statseminar/
目的 確率統計学およびその関連領域に関する研究発表, 研究紹介を行う.

2015年02月10日(火)

16:30-17:40   数理科学研究科棟(駒場) 052号室
Ioane Muni Toke 氏 (Ecole Centrale Paris and University of New Caledonia)
Zero-intelligence modelling of limit order books
[ 講演概要 ]
Limit order books (LOB) are at the core of electronic financial markets.
A LOB centralizes all orders of all market participants on a given
exchange, matching buy and sell orders of all types.

In a first part, we observe that a LOB is a queueing system and that
this analogy is fruitful to derive stationary properties of these
structures. Using a basic Poisson model, we compute analytical formulas
for the average shape of the LOB. Our model allows for non-unit size of
limit orders, leading to new predictions on the granularity of financial
markets that turn out to be empirically valid.

In a second part, we study the LOB during the call auction, a market
design often used during the opening and closing phases of the trading
day. We show that in a basic Poisson model of the call auction, the
distributions for the traded volume and the range of clearing prices are
analytically computable. In the case of a liquid market, we derive weak
limits of these distributions and test them empirically.